Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.064100 0.072271 0.080593 0.089674 0.099275 0.109097 0.119881
2025-09-28 0.051288 0.063344 0.076180 0.090732 0.106652 0.123432 0.142352
2025-10-05 0.046908 0.061970 0.078521 0.097773 0.119298 0.142401 0.168862
2025-10-12 0.039200 0.055721 0.074489 0.096892 0.122468 0.150386 0.182817
2025-10-19 0.034483 0.052302 0.073134 0.098532 0.128011 0.160609 0.198882
2025-10-26 0.029962 0.048597 0.071021 0.098921 0.131808 0.168607 0.212223
2025-11-02 0.026676 0.046076 0.070039 0.100390 0.136640 0.177600 0.226527
2025-11-09 0.023238 0.043002 0.068109 0.100497 0.139689 0.184400 0.238209
2025-11-16 0.019041 0.038471 0.064021 0.097697 0.139065 0.186769 0.244655
2025-11-23 0.015503 0.034465 0.060318 0.095132 0.138522 0.189070 0.250879
2025-11-30 0.013766 0.032911 0.059715 0.096361 0.142489 0.196595 0.263095
2025-12-07 0.012441 0.031845 0.059677 0.098238 0.147194 0.204953 0.276248
2025-12-14 0.011665 0.031683 0.060989 0.102039 0.154516 0.216719 0.293761
2025-12-21 0.010150 0.030143 0.060301 0.103202 0.158575 0.224630 0.306822
2025-12-28 0.010565 0.031957 0.064420 0.110740 0.170638 0.242179 0.331276
2026-01-04 0.008694 0.029494 0.062235 0.109799 0.171975 0.246764 0.340383
2026-01-11 0.007697 0.028491 0.062104 0.111552 0.176673 0.255381 0.354241
2026-01-18 0.006510 0.026933 0.061041 0.111967 0.179616 0.261829 0.365492
2026-01-25 0.005694 0.025996 0.060854 0.113537 0.184003 0.270014 0.378798
2026-02-01 0.004697 0.024479 0.059668 0.113651 0.186462 0.275801 0.389203
2026-02-08 0.003341 0.021751 0.056368 0.110660 0.184777 0.276396 0.393289
2026-02-15 0.002271 0.019312 0.053339 0.107917 0.183317 0.277193 0.397555
2026-02-22 0.001858 0.018595 0.053149 0.109231 0.187184 0.284593 0.409795